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Showing content with the highest reputation on 07/06/2018 in all areas

  1. 1 point
    I really think Brouwer and Stone are going nowhere. Might be reading too much into things, but both were in the stampede parade today along with Peters. Just have the feeling if a buyout of Brouwer was planned that they would ask another player to represent the organization in the parade
  2. 1 point
    The comparisons will be interesting between the GG and BP eras. Is it fair to compare?... BP has a better roster to ice that offers much more versatility and options for his staff. What could GG have achieved with this same roster? I guess it makes the fact we made the playoffs even once under him all the more impressive. The BoA just has started an all new chapter!
  3. 1 point
    I also think we see a much better team defensively this season which will only help our goalies.
  4. 1 point
    Your early statements are reasonable, the last more reflects on your view of our contingencies than that we have none. We do, whether we like them or not is another matter. I'd agree we haven't had any articles or updates on the goalies since the season ended, but I would assume Smith is well and doing what he needs to do over the summer. Same for the others. Both Rittich and Gillies have had so few NHL games the sample size is tiny so its very premature to think they are what they are based on just a handful of games. One thing I believe we all can probably agree on is that after this next year the Flames need to make some serious decisions for the future because Smith will be done, or nearly so and the back-ups will have either shown significant progress or they will be finished, except maybe Parsons. I would also agree it would be interesting to know what the Flames, or other teams/organizations use to best evaluate their goalies.
  5. 1 point
    Hmmm, more numbers. I see that Gillies had by far the best PPSV% of all the goalies, and if you consider that a goalie probably needed a "More 920" for a win, both of the Flames are right in line with several of the established guys, or downright better. Also, not sure about your Lack comment. Lack had a season SV% of 0.813 which is massively below every goalie on your list. Fourthly, your points are not invalid re: seasonal averages, but as both Rittich and Gillies are by far the least established and just barely getting started in the NHL, I'm more than willing to bet on their continued improvement, the same as we do for skaters. Let's see, how was Gaudreau after his first few games? Are you capping out Tkachuk's or Bennet's or Jankowski's or Mangiapanne's potential at their first year/first month's NHL results? I think not. To do so with goalies, who notoriously require more time to get established than any other hockey position, is disingenuous as I've stated earlier. Finally, we can drag out any number of goalies and ask why not them?.... but of your list none of them are currently available except perhaps Anderson, nor would their multi-million dollar contracts do well with our Cap structure, nor would several be interested in a strictly back-up job. So are they really relevant?
  6. 1 point
    Interesting table. Are all goalies either Jekyll or Hyde on any given night or just this group of 10? These guys are either "bad or good" and only "okay" 10% of the time? Well except for Gillies he is never "okay" according to the table. One explanation could be if the goalie lets in a couple of soft ones he gets yanked early, and never given the opportunity to redeem himself in that game. Goaltender evaluation is much deeper than this me thinks.
  7. 1 point
    I feel if a goalie has better stats on one of the worst teams in the NHL then it means the team isn’t scoring enough. Maybe they can defend a bit better than we can. We say our goalies suck, but we don’t say our D sucked? Had Smith not been lights out to start the year we would’ve been 1st overall. so you’re all telling us that we need a lights out goalie in order to win - good luck with that. Even with his elite play we were barely close to or in a playoff spot. Smith was bad later, but overplayed and then came back from injury too soon.
  8. 1 point
    Both you and cccsberg have done a great job breaking down these numbers. It would be interesting to compare the same statistics though. One potential limitation to your table above is that it compares overall save percentages. I wonder if it is more accurate to compared the save percentages of the first 20 games or so that they all played. I say this because I wonder if goalies frequently struggle in the beginning of their careers, and then improve over time as their confidence rises. Also, it would be interesting to be able to factor in the quality of the team overall, and the effectiveness of the defence. There must be a way to regress all of these variables onto wins and losses to ascertain how impactful each variable is, and then include this in an overall score of goaltender performance. Of course, then we run into the problem of causal chain direction. That is, does a more talented winning team produce better goaltending statistics, or does better goaltending produce a more successful team? We know in reality that it works both ways (covariation), but logically the causal chain should be directional if we want to make statements about what causes what. Hockey is such a difficult sport to analyze statistically as it is processual, not static like baseball. You can't Moneyball hockey yet.
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